Paper 4 (9164, Section A) · June 2017 · Binomial and Geometric Distributions
X is a discrete random variable with a geometric distribution, , counting the number of trials up to and including the first success.
Find .
Model answer
0.972
Also accepted: 0,972, 0.97, 0,97, 0.9720, 0,9720, 0.97201, 0,97201, 0.9720064, 0,9720064
Explanation
The probability of success on any one trial is , so the probability of failure is .
X exceeds 7 exactly when the first seven trials all fail, so .
Therefore , which is 0.972 to 3 significant figures and 0.97 to 2 significant figures.
Working through the tail is much quicker than adding the seven separate terms , though that sum gives the same value.
Derived from ZIMSEC Statistics Paper 4, June 2017, Q1