Paper 2 · Specimen 2026 · Statistical Tests and Distributions
A one-tailed test at the level uses against , with passes out of observed and under . What is the correct conclusion?
AReject , because is larger than the significance level of that was set for the test.
BReject , because the observed proportion is greater than the assumed value of .
CDo not reject : since , there is no evidence at the level of an improvement.
DThe test cannot be carried out, because a sample of students is too small for a binomial model.
Explanation
A result is significant when its probability under falls below the significance level. Here is far above , so a result at least this good would happen more than half the time even if nothing had changed. is retained: there is no evidence of an improvement. The observed proportion being slightly above is not by itself evidence, which is exactly what the test measures. The binomial model is valid for ; small simply makes the test less powerful.
Derived from ZIMSEC Additional Mathematics Paper 2, Specimen Paper, Q7